Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.499359 23.251024 26.248609 29.758763 33.759440 38.180654 43.442024
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.226831 19.737518 23.845486 29.015401 35.360400 42.909415 52.596630
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.451782 17.423095 22.379332 29.037904 37.779840 48.907644 64.214757
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.456243 15.735770 21.408904 29.514309 40.856688 56.252405 78.885260
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.730331 14.122343 20.284643 29.616356 43.490266 63.512005 94.882560
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.625107 13.193975 19.961892 30.799894 47.883053 74.043836 117.659052
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.491477 12.039061 19.127916 31.095133 51.032831 83.339929 140.499806
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.341948 10.671329 17.749449 30.305422 52.344982 90.018488 160.546103
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.483449 9.638704 16.747332 29.968801 54.367982 98.276752 185.092990
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.987177 9.146643 16.583861 31.072023 59.155275 112.320731 223.278487
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.607793 8.802387 16.627850 32.569187 64.975360 129.422019 271.215115
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.136071 8.207601 16.111224 32.901553 68.597838 142.968888 315.002607
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.570150 7.352439 14.985152 31.880967 69.420454 151.307379 350.369187
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.088395 6.590324 13.925244 30.817550 69.980680 159.294017 387.148116
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.752033 6.080857 13.312943 30.631450 72.508353 172.318079 439.495400
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.499955 5.714960 12.953976 30.965520 76.358500 189.360968 506.612027
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.255225 5.325233 12.477586 30.937575 79.345949 205.011330 574.436765
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.110010 5.146241 12.465505 32.064057 85.555106 230.415487 676.617089
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.929555 4.851088 12.123208 32.281827 89.418996 250.478997 769.088145
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.716040 4.437226 11.414985 31.390919 90.039599 261.671045 837.818150
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.551960 4.124772 10.916950 30.986719 91.989743 277.236752 925.277779
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.468231 4.014093 10.939681 32.083381 98.699337 308.907377 1076.554569
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.406075 3.952841 11.089175 33.593112 107.067845 347.953860 1266.233868